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The 2026 NFL Draft mock predictions are compared between a human expert and an AI chatbot. The expert, Chris Bumbaca, faces off against Microsoft Copilot in predicting first-round picks.
NFL mock draft 2026: How AI picks compare to expert predictions for Round 1
Another chapter is being written in the age-old battle of Man vs. Machine, with this one revolving around the 2026 NFL Draft.
The challenge: USA TODAY reporter Chris Bumbaca was tasked with crafting a first-round 2026 NFL mock draft. Yours truly had AI chatbot Microsoft Copilot do the same, via a two-prompt sequence that asked it to create a first-round mock using only players who had declared for this year's draft.
This was a continuation of an experiment which saw Bumbaca and the chatbot face off ahead of what was a more predictable 2025 NFL Draft. The expert proved to be the winner of that battle, correctly prognosticating seven picks to the AI chatbot's five.
Will we see a repeat of that result in 2026? A modified scoring system – which will award one point for predicting the correct player-slash-team match and an additional point for correctly guessing where a player is picked, regardless of what team selects him – could give Copilot a better chance of competing for the title, though some of its bolder picks could ultimately hamstring its efforts.
One notable rule, for this mock draft exercise: trades were not permitted. It was difficult enough to get the chatbot to correctly follow the established parameters for the exercise, so throwing trades into the mix could have created more chaos.
Without further ado, here are the results of the "Expert vs. AI mock draft," including Bumbaca's analysis and my translation of Copilot's logic.
Arvell Reese, LB/DE, Ohio State
On a defense already dotted with stars, Reese rose from an occasional contributor to a bona fide star in his first full season as a starter. The 6-4, 241-pound linebacker exhibited uncommon fluidity for a player of his size, finding equal comfort dropping back in coverage as bullying his way into the backfield. His pass-rush plan is still rather rudimentary at the moment, but he has the toolkit of a double-digit sack artist. In a league where defenses are constantly taxed against the pass and run, Reese displays a unique aptitude for detonating whatever play an offense might throw at him.
Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana
It's a testament to Mendoza's impeccable body of work that the pre-draft vivisection of his game has largely only turned up questions of how he'll fare operating from under center rather than in the shotgun.
No one will confuse the 6-5, 236-pound Heisman Trophy winner with the likes of Cam Ward or Drake Maye, as he's not particularly creative or dangerous when a play breaks down. But that's about the only phase in which Mendoza comes up short. He's as precise as any passer you'll find from the college ranks, and he comfortably works through progressions and manipulates coverages. His arm strength isn't otherworldly, but he can attack every level with suitable velocity on his throws. Forcing him off his spot can throw him off his rhythm, but Mendoza rarely loses his cool under pressure and still conjures solutions when things aren't going his way. Beyond the improvisational shortcomings, he's the picture of a top-tier quarterback prospect.
More: Why Fernando Mendoza won't be at NFL draft: Indiana QB staying home
Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame
The hyperbole inherent to NFL draft evaluations doesn't seem so outlandish when it's being attached to Love. For the 6-0, 213-pound Heisman Trophy finalist, everything starts with his game-breaking speed, which allows him to turn the corner with ease or jet through even the narrowest of openings on the interior. And once he has a step on the defense, he's extremely unlikely to be caught. He's far from just a linear threat, however, as his distinct creativity shines through in the open field – particularly when he unleashes his spin move or hurdle. Operating in a different gear than everyone else has created some inconsistencies in his early pacing, but it's rarely something that derails him. His elite skill set also carries over to his work as a pass catcher, where he can further vex defenses that won't likely have an answer when he lines up in the slot or out wide. It's fair to hold onto questions of positional value for running backs, but Love is unquestionably among a select few who deserve to be seen as this class' difference-makers.
Rueben Bain Jr., DE, Miami
No defender in college football broke open games last season quite like Bain, who led the Football Bowl Subdivision with 83 pressures, according to Pro Football Focus. The 6-2, 263-pounder frequently took the shortest path possible to the quarterback, uprooting anyone who stood in his way. Bain's atypical build for an edge rusher – including his short arms – invited plenty of scrutiny about how he might translate to the pro ranks, but he's already demonstrated he can mitigate the concern. If he's neutralized, it seems unlikely that it'll become a common occurrence.
Sonny Styles, LB, Ohio State
After arriving at Ohio State as an elite athlete searching for a true position, Styles departs Columbus having developed an unparalleled proficiency for the intricacies of linebacker play. The 6-5, 244-pound former safety could be counted on to be in the right place to plug the run at all times, and he still has room to grow in coverage and as a blitzer. Clean in everything he does, Styles can help be a standard-bearer for whatever defense he joins.
Caleb Downs, S, Ohio State
From his first snaps at Alabama as a five-star freshman to his final push at Ohio State, Downs put himself in a class all his own at safety. The two-time unanimous All-American repeatedly snuffed out plays before they could get started, particularly against the run or near the line of scrimmage. While he doesn't measure up as a physical marvel like Kyle Hamilton or Derwin James, he could have the same bottom-line effect for a defense, even if he doesn't match their ball production. His position might prevent him from cracking the top five, but he'll force offenses to account for him on every down.
David Bailey, OLB/DE, Texas Tech
Right off the snap, Bailey gets offensive linemen on their toes. The 6-4, 251-pound edge rusher's explosion off the ball can get blockers off balance in an instant, at which point Bailey can attack them by changing course or unleashing a spin move. Bailey's lean frame can result in him being eradicated in the run game at times, but players who can derail opposing passers with his level of efficiency can't be ignored. It shouldn't be long into his NFL transition before his pressure rate ticks up and he takes his place as one of the league's most threatening matchups off the edge.
Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State
He was never the WR1 in the Buckeyes' loaded receiver room, but Tate stands above the rest of the pass-catching options in this class. With subtle shifts in his tempo and sudden breaks in his routes, the 6-2, 192-pound target creates separation without much strain. He settles into open spaces against zone and skies over defensive backs to haul in difficult passes down the sideline. He might not look the part of a go-to target, but he measures up to the title in almost every respect.
Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU
Not long into his foray into the Southeastern Conference, the Virginia Tech transfer made clear to opponents that he was not to be tested. Delane rapidly earned the title of shutdown corner, with teams almost universally opting to avoid throwing his way. At the next level, he figures to draw comparisons to Trent McDuffie – another cornerback who doesn't let his size or limited ball production prevent him from being recognized as a first-tier cover man.
Makai Lemon, WR, USC
In an earlier era, Lemon might have been dismissed as a slot receiver not capable of being an offensive focal point. Now, however, there shouldn't be much doubt about how much the Biletnikoff Award winner can shoulder. Lemon is a maestro when it comes to getting open underneath, and he can be counted on to vacuum up any throw that approaches his area. And teams that underestimate his downfield credentials could end up paying if they try to sit on short and intermediate throws.
Jermod McCoy, CB, Tennessee
A torn anterior cruciate ligament suffered last January kept McCoy out of commission for all of last season and clouded his pre-draft process. But in a stellar pro day showing, the 6-1, 188-pound corner served up a reminder that he has all the trappings of a top-tier cover man. With superlative ball skills and ample tools to stick with receivers throughout their routes, McCoy can grow into a standout in any defensive scheme.
Dillon Thieneman, S, Oregon
After his impressive performance at the NFL scouting combine, Thieneman rocketed into the discussion of this draft's premier defensive backs. Easy coverage instincts extend his already expansive range, and vigilance is required for any passing attack that throws to his area of the field. He can't measure up to Downs or some of the other safeties in this class when operating closer to the line of scrimmage, but he shouldn't be asked to serve in that capacity too frequently anyway.
Even with everything crumbling around him in Penn State's calamitous season, Ioane still held firm. The 6-5, 320-pound left guard is a brick wall in pass protection, but where he really shines is in his forceful displacements in the run game. Ioane will have to figure out a way to handle quick-twitch defensive tackles who will test his fluidity, but he's one of the more reliable prospects in this class.
Francis Mauigoa, OT/G, Miami
Solid to the core, the former five-star recruit holds his ground against the pass and forces opposing linemen out of the way with his strong first contact. But while there's not much mystery to the 6-6, 329-pounder's play, there are several unknowns about his projection. A move inside could be in his future to safeguard against concerns that he'll be beaten by rangy edge rushers, but the skill set is there to hang at right tackle.
Spencer Fano, OT, Utah
Smooth movements allow Fano to conjure answers for even the speediest edge rushers. He still could have trouble with rangier defenders, however, as well as ones who can convert speed to power and knock him off base. Like many offensive tackles in this class, he'll face questions of whether he belongs at the position, with some question of whether he should head to center.
Monroe Freeling, OT, Georgia
From his massive frame (6-7, 315 pounds) to his quickness, Freeling checks off some of the most notable boxes for a high-end left tackle. As a one-year starter, his technique is still a work in progress, with some bad habits sapping his efficacy. But he's clearly on an upward trajectory, and teams might be eager to buy on an ascendant blocker.
KC Concepcion, WR, Texas A&M
Few receivers are true separators at all three levels. Concepcion qualifies as just that, with more than enough quickness and speed to free himself from coverage at any point on the field. Drops have dogged him, but he could shake the issue in short order. Versatile and dynamic, Concepcion is more refined than he gets credit for, and he could become a vital part of an aerial attack with more polish.
Kenyon Sadiq, TE, Oregon
The ultimate seam threat, Sadiq accelerates in a manner not seen from 6-3, 241-pound pass catchers. Though he's proven himself after the catch, much of his value remains somewhat theoretical, as his experience and workload in the downfield passing game haven't aligned with his capabilities. But as an instant mismatch creator and aggressive run blocker, he can change the complexion of whatever offense he joins.
Denzel Boston, WR, Washington
Some will see a 6-4, 210-pound body and assume Boston relies on pulling down jump balls in close quarters. But while tilting those throws in his favor is his best feature, it's far from his only one. Boston has impressive fluidity for a player with his physical make-up, and his tracking and midair adjustments make him an even more confounding coverage assignment.
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, S, Toledo
Though he might not be an all-around coverage maven, McNeil-Warren is comfortable exerting his will from several different vantage points. He rallies to the ball in a hurry in run support, working his way through traffic to deliver big hits. And though his 6-4, 201-pound build limits his comfort zone in coverage, he can give both quarterbacks and receivers pause on attempting any throws over the middle.
Jordyn Tyson, WR, Arizona State
Once seen as the clear-cut favorite to be the first receiver selected, Tyson now might be the most polarizing pass catcher in this class. Quick and crisp when he's dialed in, he has a robust set of maneuvers to beat man coverage from various spots. But medical concerns from various ailments muddle his draft outlook, and he can be inefficient with his footwork.
Akheem Mesidor, DE, Miami
Having just turned 25 with an extensive injury history, Mesidor enters the draft with red flags that might tank other prospects' stock. Teams that look past those issues, however, will see an advanced and unrelenting pass rusher with a deep bag of tricks to beat blockers. Mesidor might be one of the most divisive prospects in this class in his projection, but there's not much to object to with the on-field product.
Colton Hood, CB, Tennessee
With McCoy sidelined, Hood did a commendable job of filling in as the Volunteers' primary asset in coverage. The Colorado transfer kept the competitive juices flowing in shutting down tight-window throws as well as making his presence felt against the run. He can't match McCoy in overall fluidity, but he still sizes up as a meaningful counter in man coverage for bigger receivers.
Omar Cooper Jr., WR, Indiana
Other receivers are sure to be more vexing coverage matchups than the 6-0, 199-pound target. Cooper, however, has a truly distinct aptitude for slipping tacklers in the open field. His penchant for racking up yards after the catch should carry over to the NFL and endear him to his future quarterback, as should his aggressive approach to fighting through contact and operating in traffic.
Caleb Lomu, OT, Utah
In a class rife with right tackles and expected guard converts, Lomu stands out as a true blindside protector. Bulking up will be an essential step for the 6-6, 313-pounder to hold his own against more powerful edge rushers, but there's considerable room for growth on top of the enticing glimpses of his potential he's already displayed.
1 / 25
Arvell Reese, LB/DE, Ohio State
On a defense already dotted with stars, Reese rose from an occasional contributor to a bona fide star in his first full season as a starter. The 6-4, 241-pound linebacker exhibited uncommon fluidity for a player of his size, finding equal comfort dropping back in coverage as bullying his way into the backfield. His pass-rush plan is still rather rudimentary at the moment, but he has the toolkit of a double-digit sack artist. In a league where defenses are constantly taxed against the pass and run, Reese displays a unique aptitude for detonating whatever play an offense might throw at him.
1 / 25
Arvell Reese, LB/DE, Ohio State
On a defense already dotted with stars, Reese rose from an occasional contributor to a bona fide star in his first full season as a starter. The 6-4, 241-pound linebacker exhibited uncommon fluidity for a player of his size, finding equal comfort dropping back in coverage as bullying his way into the backfield. His pass-rush plan is still rather rudimentary at the moment, but he has the toolkit of a double-digit sack artist. In a league where defenses are constantly taxed against the pass and run, Reese displays a unique aptitude for detonating whatever play an offense might throw at him.
2 / 25
Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana
It's a testament to Mendoza's impeccable body of work that the pre-draft vivisection of his game has largely only turned up questions of how he'll fare operating from under center rather than in the shotgun.
No one will confuse the 6-5, 236-pound Heisman Trophy winner with the likes of Cam Ward or Drake Maye, as he's not particularly creative or dangerous when a play breaks down. But that's about the only phase in which Mendoza comes up short. He's as precise as any passer you'll find from the college ranks, and he comfortably works through progressions and manipulates coverages. His arm strength isn't otherworldly, but he can attack every level with suitable velocity on his throws. Forcing him off his spot can throw him off his rhythm, but Mendoza rarely loses his cool under pressure and still conjures solutions when things aren't going his way. Beyond the improvisational shortcomings, he's the picture of a top-tier quarterback prospect.
More: Why Fernando Mendoza won't be at NFL draft: Indiana QB staying home
3 / 25
Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame
The hyperbole inherent to NFL draft evaluations doesn't seem so outlandish when it's being attached to Love. For the 6-0, 213-pound Heisman Trophy finalist, everything starts with his game-breaking speed, which allows him to turn the corner with ease or jet through even the narrowest of openings on the interior. And once he has a step on the defense, he's extremely unlikely to be caught. He's far from just a linear threat, however, as his distinct creativity shines through in the open field – particularly when he unleashes his spin move or hurdle. Operating in a different gear than everyone else has created some inconsistencies in his early pacing, but it's rarely something that derails him. His elite skill set also carries over to his work as a pass catcher, where he can further vex defenses that won't likely have an answer when he lines up in the slot or out wide. It's fair to hold onto questions of positional value for running backs, but Love is unquestionably among a select few who deserve to be seen as this class' difference-makers.
4 / 25
Rueben Bain Jr., DE, Miami
No defender in college football broke open games last season quite like Bain, who led the Football Bowl Subdivision with 83 pressures, according to Pro Football Focus. The 6-2, 263-pounder frequently took the shortest path possible to the quarterback, uprooting anyone who stood in his way. Bain's atypical build for an edge rusher – including his short arms – invited plenty of scrutiny about how he might translate to the pro ranks, but he's already demonstrated he can mitigate the concern. If he's neutralized, it seems unlikely that it'll become a common occurrence.
5 / 25
Sonny Styles, LB, Ohio State
After arriving at Ohio State as an elite athlete searching for a true position, Styles departs Columbus having developed an unparalleled proficiency for the intricacies of linebacker play. The 6-5, 244-pound former safety could be counted on to be in the right place to plug the run at all times, and he still has room to grow in coverage and as a blitzer. Clean in everything he does, Styles can help be a standard-bearer for whatever defense he joins.
6 / 25
Caleb Downs, S, Ohio State
From his first snaps at Alabama as a five-star freshman to his final push at Ohio State, Downs put himself in a class all his own at safety. The two-time unanimous All-American repeatedly snuffed out plays before they could get started, particularly against the run or near the line of scrimmage. While he doesn't measure up as a physical marvel like Kyle Hamilton or Derwin James, he could have the same bottom-line effect for a defense, even if he doesn't match their ball production. His position might prevent him from cracking the top five, but he'll force offenses to account for him on every down.
7 / 25
David Bailey, OLB/DE, Texas Tech
Right off the snap, Bailey gets offensive linemen on their toes. The 6-4, 251-pound edge rusher's explosion off the ball can get blockers off balance in an instant, at which point Bailey can attack them by changing course or unleashing a spin move. Bailey's lean frame can result in him being eradicated in the run game at times, but players who can derail opposing passers with his level of efficiency can't be ignored. It shouldn't be long into his NFL transition before his pressure rate ticks up and he takes his place as one of the league's most threatening matchups off the edge.
8 / 25
Carnell Tate, WR, Ohio State
He was never the WR1 in the Buckeyes' loaded receiver room, but Tate stands above the rest of the pass-catching options in this class. With subtle shifts in his tempo and sudden breaks in his routes, the 6-2, 192-pound target creates separation without much strain. He settles into open spaces against zone and skies over defensive backs to haul in difficult passes down the sideline. He might not look the part of a go-to target, but he measures up to the title in almost every respect.
9 / 25
Mansoor Delane, CB, LSU
Not long into his foray into the Southeastern Conference, the Virginia Tech transfer made clear to opponents that he was not to be tested. Delane rapidly earned the title of shutdown corner, with teams almost universally opting to avoid throwing his way. At the next level, he figures to draw comparisons to Trent McDuffie – another cornerback who doesn't let his size or limited ball production prevent him from being recognized as a first-tier cover man.
10 / 25
Makai Lemon, WR, USC
In an earlier era, Lemon might have been dismissed as a slot receiver not capable of being an offensive focal point. Now, however, there shouldn't be much doubt about how much the Biletnikoff Award winner can shoulder. Lemon is a maestro when it comes to getting open underneath, and he can be counted on to vacuum up any throw that approaches his area. And teams that underestimate his downfield credentials could end up paying if they try to sit on short and intermediate throws.
11 / 25
Jermod McCoy, CB, Tennessee
A torn anterior cruciate ligament suffered last January kept McCoy out of commission for all of last season and clouded his pre-draft process. But in a stellar pro day showing, the 6-1, 188-pound corner served up a reminder that he has all the trappings of a top-tier cover man. With superlative ball skills and ample tools to stick with receivers throughout their routes, McCoy can grow into a standout in any defensive scheme.
12 / 25
Dillon Thieneman, S, Oregon
After his impressive performance at the NFL scouting combine, Thieneman rocketed into the discussion of this draft's premier defensive backs. Easy coverage instincts extend his already expansive range, and vigilance is required for any passing attack that throws to his area of the field. He can't measure up to Downs or some of the other safeties in this class when operating closer to the line of scrimmage, but he shouldn't be asked to serve in that capacity too frequently anyway.
13 / 25
Even with everything crumbling around him in Penn State's calamitous season, Ioane still held firm. The 6-5, 320-pound left guard is a brick wall in pass protection, but where he really shines is in his forceful displacements in the run game. Ioane will have to figure out a way to handle quick-twitch defensive tackles who will test his fluidity, but he's one of the more reliable prospects in this class.
14 / 25
Francis Mauigoa, OT/G, Miami
Solid to the core, the former five-star recruit holds his ground against the pass and forces opposing linemen out of the way with his strong first contact. But while there's not much mystery to the 6-6, 329-pounder's play, there are several unknowns about his projection. A move inside could be in his future to safeguard against concerns that he'll be beaten by rangy edge rushers, but the skill set is there to hang at right tackle.
15 / 25
Spencer Fano, OT, Utah
Smooth movements allow Fano to conjure answers for even the speediest edge rushers. He still could have trouble with rangier defenders, however, as well as ones who can convert speed to power and knock him off base. Like many offensive tackles in this class, he'll face questions of whether he belongs at the position, with some question of whether he should head to center.
16 / 25
Monroe Freeling, OT, Georgia
From his massive frame (6-7, 315 pounds) to his quickness, Freeling checks off some of the most notable boxes for a high-end left tackle. As a one-year starter, his technique is still a work in progress, with some bad habits sapping his efficacy. But he's clearly on an upward trajectory, and teams might be eager to buy on an ascendant blocker.
17 / 25
KC Concepcion, WR, Texas A&M
Few receivers are true separators at all three levels. Concepcion qualifies as just that, with more than enough quickness and speed to free himself from coverage at any point on the field. Drops have dogged him, but he could shake the issue in short order. Versatile and dynamic, Concepcion is more refined than he gets credit for, and he could become a vital part of an aerial attack with more polish.
18 / 25
Kenyon Sadiq, TE, Oregon
The ultimate seam threat, Sadiq accelerates in a manner not seen from 6-3, 241-pound pass catchers. Though he's proven himself after the catch, much of his value remains somewhat theoretical, as his experience and workload in the downfield passing game haven't aligned with his capabilities. But as an instant mismatch creator and aggressive run blocker, he can change the complexion of whatever offense he joins.
19 / 25
Denzel Boston, WR, Washington
Some will see a 6-4, 210-pound body and assume Boston relies on pulling down jump balls in close quarters. But while tilting those throws in his favor is his best feature, it's far from his only one. Boston has impressive fluidity for a player with his physical make-up, and his tracking and midair adjustments make him an even more confounding coverage assignment.
20 / 25
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, S, Toledo
Though he might not be an all-around coverage maven, McNeil-Warren is comfortable exerting his will from several different vantage points. He rallies to the ball in a hurry in run support, working his way through traffic to deliver big hits. And though his 6-4, 201-pound build limits his comfort zone in coverage, he can give both quarterbacks and receivers pause on attempting any throws over the middle.
21 / 25
Jordyn Tyson, WR, Arizona State
Once seen as the clear-cut favorite to be the first receiver selected, Tyson now might be the most polarizing pass catcher in this class. Quick and crisp when he's dialed in, he has a robust set of maneuvers to beat man coverage from various spots. But medical concerns from various ailments muddle his draft outlook, and he can be inefficient with his footwork.
22 / 25
Akheem Mesidor, DE, Miami
Having just turned 25 with an extensive injury history, Mesidor enters the draft with red flags that might tank other prospects' stock. Teams that look past those issues, however, will see an advanced and unrelenting pass rusher with a deep bag of tricks to beat blockers. Mesidor might be one of the most divisive prospects in this class in his projection, but there's not much to object to with the on-field product.
23 / 25
Colton Hood, CB, Tennessee
With McCoy sidelined, Hood did a commendable job of filling in as the Volunteers' primary asset in coverage. The Colorado transfer kept the competitive juices flowing in shutting down tight-window throws as well as making his presence felt against the run. He can't match McCoy in overall fluidity, but he still sizes up as a meaningful counter in man coverage for bigger receivers.
24 / 25
Omar Cooper Jr., WR, Indiana
Other receivers are sure to be more vexing coverage matchups than the 6-0, 199-pound target. Cooper, however, has a truly distinct aptitude for slipping tacklers in the open field. His penchant for racking up yards after the catch should carry over to the NFL and endear him to his future quarterback, as should his aggressive approach to fighting through contact and operating in traffic.
25 / 25
Caleb Lomu, OT, Utah
In a class rife with right tackles and expected guard converts, Lomu stands out as a true blindside protector. Bulking up will be an essential step for the 6-6, 313-pounder to hold his own against more powerful edge rushers, but there's considerable room for growth on top of the enticing glimpses of his potential he's already displayed.
Any explanation needed? This has been a lock for months and hopefully, for the Raiders' sake, he is the QB1 of the future. – Bumbaca
Looks like Copilot agrees with you, Boom! It offered that Mendoza was a "clear QB1" and there would be "no mystery" with the first pick. Let's move forward. – Camenker
Reese vs. David Bailey is the first inflection point of the draft. I like Reese's upside more despite the production pedigree. – Bumbaca
Copilot had a similar analysis of the Reese vs. Bailey debate. It praised Reese's "elite versatility" but also noted it believes he is "pro-ready," a label that has more often been given to Bailey. – Camenker
Perhaps the best pure pass-rusher in the draft finds a home in the desert. – Bumbaca
Of the bat, AI and the expert are 3-for-3 in agreeing. It's mocking the Cardinals an "explosive pass rusher with elite first step." Hard to argue with that analysis of Bailey. – Camenker
A top-five pick on a running back? This guy is worth it and gels with the personality of head coach Robert Saleh and offensive coordinator Brian Daboll. – Bumbaca
Here's Copilot's first deviation from the consensus. Rather than Love, the AI chatbot has the Titans taking Styles, a "plug-and-play" linebacker with great "instincts, range and leadership." Saleh enjoyed success coaching Fred Warner, so Styles would fit well in his defense. – Camenker
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The Giants have plenty of needs. Picking up an off-ball linebacker who can actually impact plays would mark a concerted effort in that department for the first time in 15 years for "Big Blue." – Bumbaca
With Styles off the board, Copilot gave the Giants another Ohio State product. It likes the idea of Downs becoming a "tone‑setter" for John Harbaugh's defense. Makes sense. – Camenker
WR1 in the draft goes to a place where the quarterbacks – plural – need as much help as they can get. – Bumbaca
Copilot is also giving the Browns help but in a... different way. Cleveland spent the 36th pick in the 2025 NFL Draft on Quinshon Judkins, but that didn't stop the AI chatbot from giving the Browns a three-down playmaker who would give the team "elite offensive juice." That may be true, but this fit seems far-fetched. – Camenker
Dan Quinn's defenses emphasize takeaways, and the back end has been subpar ever since he took over two seasons ago. – Bumbaca
OK, back to normal with this pick. Bain has great "power and speed off the edge," according to Copilot, and believes he will be a natural fit for Washington's defensive rebuild. Bain joining free agent acquisitions Odafe Oweh and K'Lavon Chaisson would provide the Commanders with quite a boost to their edge rush. – Camenker
Can't go wrong on defense, but why wouldn't you try to accentuate Tyler Shough after his promising rookie season? – Bumbaca
Well, maybe the Saints can go a bit wrong on defense. Copilot is giving them a defensive tackle – which the team could use – but this is a bit early for Woods, who had just five sacks across three seasons at Clemson despite his immense potential. Copilot praised Woods' "rare strength and athleticism," but this is undoubtedly a reach. – Camenker
The Chiefs need a presence on the edge. Between arm-length debates and the recent revelation that he was the driver in a fatal car accident two years ago, it feels like an Andy Reid pick. – Bumbaca
The Chiefs have a massive need at cornerback after losing Trent McDuffie and Jaylen Watson during the offseason, and Copilot thinks the "physical, SEC-tested" Delane is the perfect fit for that role. It's hard to argue with that, even if Reid's strategy is typically to target trench players early. – Camenker
John Harbaugh should use this extra first-rounder to build through the trenches. – Bumbaca
Copilot wanted to give the Giants an "offensive complement to Malik Nabers" and a quality weapon for Jaxson Dart. Tate would certainly accomplish that goal. – Camenker
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What is the Dolphins' long-term plan? Tough to say given their busy offseason. Going with the top corner in the draft at good value outside of No. 11 is not a bad start, though. – Bumbaca
Hey, look at that. For the first time since the third pick, Bumbaca and Copilot are close to agreeing on something. Delane is off the board for the AI chatbot, but it still wanted to give Jeff Hafley a quality, No. 1 cornerback, which makes sense given the team's lack of proven talent at the position. The lone question is whether McCoy will be medically cleared by Miami after missing the entire 2025 college season while recovering from a torn ACL. – Camenker
The Cowboys remaining at No. 12 feels far-fetched, but they will seek pass-rush ability in this first round. – Bumbaca
A full-out agreement? How about that? Faulk has "massive upside" and makes a ton of sense for a Cowboys team desperate for a top-end pass rusher. Well done, Copilot. – Camenker
Sean McVay wants to keep gas in the Ferrari. Tyson's injury history warrants concern. Still, I could also see them trading up to get their guy. – Bumbaca
Wide receiver has been the popular projection for the Rams, but Copilot is deviating from the consensus to give them Mauigoa. The Miami product is a potential plug-and-play right tackle, so perhaps he could challenge Warren McClendon for playing time at the position. – Camenker
The Ravens' offensive line has taken serious steps in the wrong direction in recent seasons. Here's to getting back on track. – Bumbaca
Copilot called Thieneman an "instinctive ballhawk," but do the Ravens really need a safety? After spending a 2025 first-round pick on Malaki Starks and with Kyle Hamilton in the fold, probably not. Bumbaca's projected pick is far more likely. – Camenker
Another weapon for Baker Mayfield – necessary after Mike Evans' departure – and an ideal complement to Cade Otton. – Bumbaca
The Buccaneers have Tristan Wirfs and Luke Goedeke entrenched as their starting tackles. Unless they're planning to move the 6-7, 352-pound Proctor inside to guard, it's hard to imagine this fit coming to fruition. – Camenker
One of my favorite players in the draft, Cooper Jr. is ideal Garrett Wilson insurance and has already shown he can make big plays in big games. – Bumbaca
Copilot likes the idea of giving the Jets a "high‑ceiling developmental QB" with their second, first-round pick. Simpson is the clear-cut No. 2 quarterback in this year's draft, and his combination of accuracy and pocket presence gives him potential for the next level. – Camenker
Detroit needs to address the tackle spot and Freeling should be the next-best available option for them. – Bumbaca
Most draft analysts have the Lions going with an offensive tackle. Copilot has the Lions going with Parker, a "smooth athlete with bend and explosion," to upgrade its edge rush. Detroit needs a long-term partner for Aidan Hutchinson, so this is within the realm of possibility. – Camenker
Goodbye, Harrison Smith; hello, Mr. Thieneman, who has the tape showing he can thrive in Brian Flores' system. – Bumbaca
Cooper over Jordyn Tyson and Makai Lemon? That's a bold choice, Copilot. It likes Cooper's "production, physicality and strong hands," but this fit is unlikely. Minnesota has too many defensive needs to target a receiver – who would be the team's No. 3 behind Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison – in the first round. – Camenker
Bryce Young needs as much help as GM Dan Morgan will give him … aka a third-straight Round 1 WR. – Bumbaca
Whoa. Hill has largely been mocked as a second-round prospect, but Copilot has the Panthers taking him 19th overall. He may have "sideline‑to‑sideline speed and high football IQ," but would Carolina really take him this early after signing Devin Lloyd to a big-money deal? That seems unlikely.
The Cowboys go defense again to shore up the backend and take the corner who fell too far because of injury concerns. – Bumbaca
Yikes. Copilot is starting to lose the plot a bit. Schrauth checks in at 119th on USA TODAY Sports' top 150 big board and doesn't even fill a need for the Cowboys, who have Tyler Smith and Tyler Booker entrenched as their starting guards. Hopefully, this pick remains the chatbot's biggest head-scratcher. – Camenker
The best interior offensive lineman in the draft goes to a team that could start him Week 1 at left guard. – Bumbaca
All right, Copilot is back on track. The Steelers traded for Michael Pittman Jr. during the offseason, but could still use a third receiver for their unit. The chatbot likes Boston's fit in Pittsburgh as a "vertical threat with big‑play speed." Pairing the 6-4 playmaker with DK Metcalf would make for an intimidating receiver room, even if Boston isn't likely to go ahead of Tyson and Lemon. – Camenker
The Chargers could use a partner and successor for 35-year-old Khalil Mack, and Mesidor is the best edge rusher still available. – Bumbaca
Justin Herbert loves throwing to his tight ends. That's why Copilot was excited to give the Chargers a "mismatch weapon" like Sadiq. He probably won't make it to this pick, but the sentiment is nice. – Camenker
Future Lane Johnson replacement? Philadelphia enjoys an O-line development project. – Bumbaca
Copilot also expects to see the Eagles "stockpile trench dominance" during the draft but has Philadelphia targeting a defensive lineman. Miller has been mocked more frequently as a Day 2 pick, but this wouldn't be an egregious reach. – Camenker
The Browns went receiver early, so they need to go O-line later in the round. – Bumbaca
Copilot also expects the Browns to target an offensive tackle, but it chose Fano with Proctor off the board. It's feasible neither of these players will be on the board with the 24th overall pick, but at least the expert and AI are in lockstep about the position Cleveland should target. – Camenker
For a team that overperformed last year, picking someone who can rush the quarterback is never a bad idea. – Bumbaca
Copilot has Lemon coming off the board after Cooper and Boston. Does it know something we don't, or is it secretly a Bears fan? Whatever its reasoning, Chicago would be happy to land an "explosive YAC threat" like Lemon to help replace DJ Moore. – Camenker
Could the Bills go offense in head coach Joe Brady's first season? Absolutely. I'm not sure the impact player they crave will remain on the board, so they should rejuvenate the pass rush that must get younger. – Bumbaca
Copilot is giving the Bills a "smooth cover corner" to further upgrade its secondary. Buffalo spent a first-round pick last season on Max Hairston, but adding Terrell to help replace Taron Johnson would be a great move. – Camenker
Trent Williams isn't getting any younger. Lomu is a good athlete and can take over at left tackle once Williams calls it a career. – Bumbaca
If Ioane makes it to San Francisco's pick at 27, the 49ers would likely sprint in the card given their need at left guard. That said, while Copilot has this happening, it's hard to imagine Ioane lasting this long. – Camenker
The Texans' offensive line has been the team's weakness for a while. – Bumbaca
This is early for Muhammad, who checks in at No. 91 overall on USA TODAY Sports' top 150 big board. Copilot characterized him as an "aggressive press corner" who could improve Houston's depth at the position, but he's more of a Day 2 fit for the team. – Camenker
Since they took care of the front with their first pick of the round, the Chiefs should address the secondary here and Johnson could fill in nicely for the departed Trent McDuffie. – Bumbaca
Look, would it be fun to see Branch – a wide-out with "elite speed and return ability" – pair with Patrick Mahomes? Absolutely. But like Muhammad, he's more of a Day 2 talent. And Jordyn Tyson is still on the board in Copilot's mock, so having Branch come off the board ahead of him is nonsensical. – Camenker
If I were running the Dolphins, I'd keep trading back both of my first-round selections. But if they do pick, a wideout who can take the top off the defense could be an asset to Malik Willis immediately. – Bumbaca
It seems Copilot really wants to upgrade Miami's cornerback room. The chatbot has the Dolphins taking both Tennessee cornerbacks with their two, first-round selections. That would certainly give Miami a needed infusion of talent at the position, but it's hard to imagine the team double-dipping at cornerback with major needs at wide receiver and along the offensive line. – Camenker
New England needs size and production off the edge. At 6-foot-6, Young will do. – Bumbaca
Copilot had to get in one more shocker before we finished up. York is just 5-11, 227 pounds and is ranked 127th on USA TODAY Sports' top 150 big board because of those frame concerns. Nonetheless, Copilot thinks the "high‑character, high‑motor linebacker" is a good fit for Mike Vrabel's defense. He well might be, but not until the middle rounds of the draft. – Camenker
Losing Coby Bryant in free agency, the Seahawks can address that by adding the speedy safety to supplement the back end of Mike Macdonald's defense. – Bumbaca
Barring major medical concerns with Tyson, the Seahawks aren't going to remotely be in range to land him. The order Copilot had its six first-round receivers come off the board was certainly confounding. – Camenker
New Orleans Saints
Tyler Shough #6 of the New Orleans Saints and Chris Olave #12 celebrate a touchdown during the second half against the Carolina Panthers in the game at Bank of America Stadium on November 09, 2025, in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Washington Commanders
Terry McLaurin #17 of the Washington Commanders celebrates with Jayden Daniels #5 after catching a pass for a touchdown during the second quarter against the Detroit Lions in the NFC Divisional Playoff at Ford Field on January 18, 2025, in Detroit, Michigan.
New York Giants
Jaxson Dart #6 and Cam Skattebo #44 of the New York Giants celebrate after Skattebo carried the ball into the endzone for a touchdown during the second quarter of the game against the Philadelphia Eagles at MetLife Stadium on October 09, 2025, in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
Tennessee Titans
Head coach Brian Callahan talks with Cam Ward of the Tennessee Titans during the fourth quarter of a game against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium on October 05, 2025, in Glendale, Arizona.
Cleveland Browns
Shedeur Sanders of the Cleveland Browns reacts to a touchdown in the fourth quarter against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on November 23, 2025, in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott #4 and CeeDee Lamb #88 of the Dallas Cowboys celebrate after their touchdown connection against the Kansas City Chiefs during the first quarter in the game at AT&T Stadium on November 27, 2025, in Arlington, Texas.
Las Vegas Raiders
Maxx Crosby of the Las Vegas Raiders celebrates after a missed field goal during the game against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on September 07, 2025, in Foxborough, Massachusetts.
Miami Dolphins
De'Von Achane #28 of the Miami Dolphins rushes for yards against Brandin Echols #26 of the Pittsburgh Steelers in the fourth quarter of the game at Acrisure Stadium on December 15, 2025, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs and Andy Reid interact against the New York Giants during the second quarter at MetLife Stadium on September 21, 2025, in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
New York Jets
Head coach Aaron Glenn of the New York Jets looks on during the fourth quarter against the Green Bay Packers during the NFL Preseason 2025 game between New York Jets and Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on August 09, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
1 / 10
New Orleans Saints
Tyler Shough #6 of the New Orleans Saints and Chris Olave #12 celebrate a touchdown during the second half against the Carolina Panthers in the game at Bank of America Stadium on November 09, 2025, in Charlotte, North Carolina.
1 / 10
New Orleans Saints
Tyler Shough #6 of the New Orleans Saints and Chris Olave #12 celebrate a touchdown during the second half against the Carolina Panthers in the game at Bank of America Stadium on November 09, 2025, in Charlotte, North Carolina.
2 / 10
Washington Commanders
Terry McLaurin #17 of the Washington Commanders celebrates with Jayden Daniels #5 after catching a pass for a touchdown during the second quarter against the Detroit Lions in the NFC Divisional Playoff at Ford Field on January 18, 2025, in Detroit, Michigan.
3 / 10
New York Giants
Jaxson Dart #6 and Cam Skattebo #44 of the New York Giants celebrate after Skattebo carried the ball into the endzone for a touchdown during the second quarter of the game against the Philadelphia Eagles at MetLife Stadium on October 09, 2025, in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
4 / 10
Tennessee Titans
Head coach Brian Callahan talks with Cam Ward of the Tennessee Titans during the fourth quarter of a game against the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium on October 05, 2025, in Glendale, Arizona.
5 / 10
Cleveland Browns
Shedeur Sanders of the Cleveland Browns reacts to a touchdown in the fourth quarter against the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on November 23, 2025, in Las Vegas, Nevada.
6 / 10
Dallas Cowboys
Dak Prescott #4 and CeeDee Lamb #88 of the Dallas Cowboys celebrate after their touchdown connection against the Kansas City Chiefs during the first quarter in the game at AT&T Stadium on November 27, 2025, in Arlington, Texas.
7 / 10
Las Vegas Raiders
Maxx Crosby of the Las Vegas Raiders celebrates after a missed field goal during the game against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on September 07, 2025, in Foxborough, Massachusetts.
8 / 10
Miami Dolphins
De'Von Achane #28 of the Miami Dolphins rushes for yards against Brandin Echols #26 of the Pittsburgh Steelers in the fourth quarter of the game at Acrisure Stadium on December 15, 2025, in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
9 / 10
Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs and Andy Reid interact against the New York Giants during the second quarter at MetLife Stadium on September 21, 2025, in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
10 / 10
New York Jets
Head coach Aaron Glenn of the New York Jets looks on during the fourth quarter against the Green Bay Packers during the NFL Preseason 2025 game between New York Jets and Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on August 09, 2025, in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: 2026 NFL mock draft: Will AI outperform expert predictions?
The article compares predictions made by expert Chris Bumbaca and AI chatbot Microsoft Copilot for the 2026 NFL Draft.
In the 2025 NFL Draft mock, the expert correctly predicted seven picks while the AI chatbot predicted five.
The mock draft includes only players who have declared for this year's draft.
The AI predictions were generated using Microsoft Copilot, an AI chatbot.

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