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Paul Merson predicts that Aston Villa will secure Champions League qualification against Liverpool. Both teams are currently tied on points, making the upcoming match crucial for their European ambitions.
Paul Merson gives Villa v Liverpool prediction as one team backed to seal Champions League place
Paul Merson believes that one team will secure Champions League qualification for 2026/27 when Aston Villa host Liverpool on Friday night.
The two teams go into the game level on 59 points, four clear of sixth-placed Bournemouth with two matches remaining, and a win for either would guarantee their place in Europeâs primary club competition for next season.
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The Reds could potentially be boosted by the returns of several key players, with Mo Salah set to return to the squad after missing the last two games with a muscle injury, while Arne Slot is hoping that Alisson Becker and Florian Wirtz might recover in time to be included tomorrow.
The match is crucial as a win for either team would guarantee their place in the Champions League for the 2026/27 season.
Aston Villa and Liverpool both have 59 points ahead of their match.
Bournemouth is in sixth place, four points behind both Aston Villa and Liverpool.
The match is scheduled for Friday night.
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Despite those prospective returns for Liverpool, Merson is predicting a 2-1 home win at Villa Park, having been unimpressed by the Merseysidersâ recent performances.
In his weekly Premier League predictions column for Sportskeeda, the Sky Sports pundit wrote:âThis is a massive football match. In terms of Champions League qualification, it doesnât get any better than this game! I do think this is a very winnable game for Aston Villa.
âItâs a bit of a catch-22 situation for Unai Emeryâs team. They have the Europa League final coming up on Wednesday. Should they rest some players for the final? What if they lose to Liverpool after playing a weakened team and then face another defeat in the final? Then Villa are at serious risk of missing out on Champions League football, despite having two routes to get there.
âI donât think Liverpool have been playing well, so Iâm backing Villa to get the win here, especially since they are at home.â
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The equation for both teams is simple â win, and Champions League football is theirs â but at least Liverpool have the advantage of a substantially better goal difference if this fixture ends in a draw for the third successive season.
Merson referenced Villaâs upcoming participation in the Europa League final, which could either see players holding back for fear of getting injured for the clash against Freiburg, or driven by an added motivation to play their way into Emeryâs starting XI in Istanbul next week.
That the Midlands side havenât yet secured their Champions League place gives them plenty to play for tomorrow night, and their home record this season (35 points from 18 games) has been substantially better than the Redsâ points haul on the road (just 24).
Liverpoolâs prospects of victory will likely depend on which version of Slotâs side turns up. If they replicate the fast start they made against Chelsea and extrapolate that over 90 minutes, they should have enough to claim all three points and, with it, a top-five finish.
However, if itâs a repeat of the pedestrian display which let the Blues back into that game, or the abysmal first-half showing at Old Trafford recently, Villa would likely take full advantage and consign us to a ninth away defeat in this top-flight campaign.
The Reds have the opportunity to lift a huge amount of pressure from their shoulders if they win tomorrow and qualify for the Champions League. If not, nerves will be frayed going into the final-day clash against Brentford.