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The Detroit Tigers aim for a series win against the Boston Red Sox in today's Patriots Day game. Predictions favor a Tigers victory with a moneyline of +123.
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The Detroit Tigers seek a series victory when they face the Boston Red Sox this morning for the annual Patriots Day game.
Boston starter Sonny Gray has seen a sharp drop in strikeouts, and my Tigers vs. Red Sox predictions expect a Tigers victory.
Read on for my MLB picks for Monday, April 20.
Jack Flaherty turned around an early-season stinker, allowing only two earned runs while adding 13 strikeouts across his last 11 2/3 innings.
He draws a Boston Red Sox lineup that ranks 23rd against right-handed pitching with a 25% strikeout rate and the second-lowest ISOagainst righties.
Sonny Gray gives up hits. His .295 xBA means the Detroit Tigers, who are slugging .403 against right-handed pitching, will put the ball in play all afternoon.
Detroit has won eight of its last nine, and is the right bet today.
Covers
The moneyline for the Tigers is +123 for today's game against the Red Sox.
Sonny Gray is the starting pitcher for the Boston Red Sox in today's game.
Predictions expect the Detroit Tigers to win against the Boston Red Sox.

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COVERS INTEL:
Gray’s strikeout rate has plummeted to 12.5% this season, well below his 24.1% career mark.
Neither of these offenses is built to put up crooked numbers, and everything about this matchup points in the same direction.
Gray controls the strike zone as well as anyone in the rotation and keeps the ball on the ground, while Flaherty has enough swing-and-miss stuff to strand traffic.
Boston has scored only four runs and is 2-for-12 with runners in scoring position, while Detroit is 5-for-16 with RISP during this series.
Five of their previous six meetings have gone Under the total, and today's will too.
Phil Naessens' 2026 Transparency Record
The game total has ended Under the total in six of their previous 10 meetings. Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Red Sox.
| Location | Fenway Park, Boston, MA |
| Date | Monday, April 20, 2026 |
| First pitch | 11:10 a.m. ET |
| TV | DSN, NESN |
| Tigers starting pitcher | Jack Flaherty (0-1, 4.05 ERA) |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Sonny Gray (2-1, 4.43 ERA) |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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