The Warriors face the Suns in a crucial Play-In Tournament game, with player prop projections highlighting key betting opportunities. Data-driven insights reveal the strongest edges for bettors tonight.
Key points
Warriors vs Suns in Play-In Tournament
Player prop projections highlight betting opportunities
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Q&A
What are the player prop projections for the Warriors vs Suns game on April 17?
The player prop projections for the Warriors vs Suns game highlight several high-value betting opportunities based on data analysis.
How do the Warriors and Suns match up in the Play-In Tournament?
The Warriors and Suns are set for a critical matchup in the Play-In Tournament, with both teams looking to secure a playoff spot.
What data supports the betting predictions for the Warriors vs Suns?
The betting predictions for the Warriors vs Suns are backed by a detailed analysis of data and current market lines.
When is the Warriors vs Suns Play-In Tournament game?
The Warriors vs Suns Play-In Tournament game is scheduled for April 17.
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The Golden State Warriors have struggled offensively over their last 25 games, ranking as the fourth-lowest scoring team in the league during that span.
That inefficiency is likely to be amplified against the Phoenix Suns, a team that has played at the slowest home pace in the NBA over the same stretch, potentially shrinking the overall number of possessions.
For an aging Warriors core, that sets up a difficult environment where every bucket will be hard-earned. As a result, much of the offensive burden is expected to fall on Steph Curry, but given the Suns' formula, it will still be tough for the veteran point guard to eclipse this lofty total.
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The Warriors have been one of the leagueâs most effective road rebounding units, ranking fourth in offensive boards over their last 15 away games (13.5 per contest).
That trend opens up an added opportunity for Draymond Green to make an impact on the glass and create extra possessions for Golden State.
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De'Anthony Melton Under 1.5 threes (-160)
Projection: 1.4 threes
The Warriors have been one of the least efficient perimeter shooting teams in the league over their last 20 games, ranking 7th-worst in three-point efficiency during that stretch.
That kind of profile doesnât create an ideal environment for perimeter role players to get into rhythm, which could further limit opportunities for De'Anthony Melton from deep.
Melton has already finished Under 1.5 threes in six of his last 10 games, and with limited spacing and a potentially slower, more controlled game script, that trend is positioned to continue tonight.
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Suns computer picks
Devin Booker Under 27.5 points (-120)
Projection: 27.08 points
From a scoring standpoint, the Phoenix Suns have averaged just 112.0 points per game at home, ranking second-lowest in the league this season.
That kind of offensive limitation puts added pressure on Devin Booker to carry the scoring load, and leaning on that outcome becomes a risky path if Phoenix wants to keep its playoff hopes alive.
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Jalen Green has cleared the 3.5-assist line in four of his last 10 games, a trend that reflects how his role has gradually expanded beyond pure scoring into more on-ball creation.
If the Warriors successfully limit Greenâs scoring lanes, Phoenix will likely need him to respond as a playmaker rather than just a scorer.
In a high-pressure setting, that often translates to a higher assist ceiling. Plus, if Green stays involved as a secondary facilitator â especially in pick-and-roll and transition opportunities â he has a realistic path to pushing past 3.5 assists again tonight.
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Against the Warriors, the matchup sets up well for perimeter volume, as opposing starting power forwards have attempted the fourth-most threes in the league over the last 10 games (5.7 per contest).
That kind of defensive profile creates room for Dillon Brooks to stay active from beyond the arc and find consistent looks from deep.
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How to watch Warriors vs Suns tonight
Location
Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
Date
Friday, April 17, 2026
Tip-off
10:00 p.m. ET
TV
Prime Video
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