Tennessee Titans fans have high expectations for wide receiver Carnell Tate, the fourth overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. He is expected to make a significant impact alongside quarterback Cameron Ward, similar to Ja'Marr Chase's success with Joe Burrow.

What should Titans fans expect from Carnell Tate? Projecting the first rounder's season originally appeared on The Sporting News. Add The Sporting News as a Preferred Source by clicking here.
Fair or not, the Tennessee Titans thrust wide receiver Carnell Tate into esteemed company when they made him the fourth pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.
Top-five selections at wide receiver are still rare, and living up to the expectations that come with it has proven difficult. Two-way star Travis Hunter is still finding his footing after being taken second overall a year ago; Ohio State brethren Marvin Harrison Jr. is quickly becoming the poster child for falling short of the generational label. Corey Davis still gives Titans fans flashbacks, Amari Cooper hit his stride on his second team, and Sammy Watkins' injuries defined his struggles.
As the co-star to Cameron Ward, Tate will be asked to have a similar impact to what Ja'Marr Chase found with Joe Burrow. It's a high bar to clear, and one that merely sniffing would be a win for Tennessee.
Ahead of his rookie season, let's take a look at how Tate might produce as Tennessee's top wide receiver.
I tried my hand at a projection model to forecast the 2026 season, both to examine how rookies may fit in their new roles and to give myself an extra resource for the fantasy football season. As far as the neophytes, the challenge lies in differentiating rookies from each other without any NFL data to their names.
Complicating matters for Tennessee is the acquisition of wide receiver Wan'Dale Robinson, who saw 140 targets for the second consecutive season and posted 1,014 yards in 2025. His large contract and connection to offensive coordinator Brian Daboll may give him an edge on the field, but in my spreadsheet, Tate consistently comes out as the Titans' top option.
Fans expect Carnell Tate to make a significant impact as a wide receiver, similar to Ja'Marr Chase's performance in his rookie season.
Carnell Tate, selected fourth overall, joins a rare group of top-five wide receiver picks, where many have struggled to meet high expectations.
Carnell Tate will be co-starring with quarterback Cameron Ward, aiming to establish a strong connection in the Titans' offense.
As a top draft pick, Carnell Tate faces the challenge of living up to high expectations, a common struggle for previous top wide receiver selections.
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Median projection: 95 targets, 60 receptions, 754 yards, 4.3 touchdowns
Tate's projection isn't groundbreaking. That's okay! Models like these have gravity toward the league average. If a projection system has anybody posting 2,000 receiving yards, you don't have to feel guilty about discarding it.
Similarly, this is a 50th-percentile outcome. A 50% chance of improving upon 750 yards is a pretty optimistic proposition for the Tennessee faithful. Tate's projection also falls in line with what we'd expect from the top receiver on a decent, albeit unproven, team. His 754 yards would have ranked 40th among all pass-catchers last year and 30th among wide receivers. With a handful of teams boasting two star-bound receivers, that would be a totally respectable finish.
Robinson, meanwhile, projects for 89 targets, 60 catches, 598 yards, and 2.9 scores -- a step back to his pre-2025 production, where he wasn't the top target-getter (Malik Nabers missed almost all of last year).
Interestingly enough, Tate doesn't project to be the most productive rookie receiver. My model loves the opportunity KC Concepcion has in Cleveland and gives him a slight edge across the board.
75th-percentile projection: 101 targets, 66 receptions, 823 yards, 6 touchdowns
25th-percentile projection: 88 targets, 55 receptions, 670 yards, 3 touchdowns
Quartile projections shouldn't be seen as one's ceiling and floor, but it is encouraging for the vast majority of outcomes to be mostly acceptable. While 670 yards would be a bit disappointing, it would likely come in an offense that features Robinson more than initially anticipated. If the slot receiver posts another 120+ targets or Ward fails to launch in his second season, Tate can post 670 yards without being seen as a bust.
Boasting elite body control, a knack for making spectacular catches, and more separation skills than his frame would suggest, Tate has plenty going for him. He can reasonably be expected to be Tennessee's top receiver, even if he lags behind the truly elite receiving prospects to emerge in recent years.