Free MLB home run picks, odds for April 20: Jordan Walker in expert's best bets for Monday HR player props

"We set Jordan Walker's line at +428 to homer," Fetner said. "Jordan Walker (bats R) faces same-side right-handed Max Meyer, and he has hit 9 of his 14 home runs against RHPs. Right-handed batters are hitting .298 with a .849 OPS against Max Meyer dating back to last season, including 8 HR in 183 PA (compared to a .673 OPS against left-handed batters). Jordan Walker has been swinging a hot bat on the road with four HRs over his last 9 games. Max Meyer has allowed 9 HRs over his last 8 starts at home. Meyer allows 1.87 HR per 9 innings at home vs 1.22 on the road. Today is a home start — his higher-HR venue."

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Carter Jensen, Royals (+650, DraftKings)

"Carter Jensen is hitting .283 with a .975 OPS against right-handed pitchers sinc last year, with 8 of his 8 home runs coming off RHPs. He's hitting .302 with a .947 OPS at home over the past year, compared to .242 and .823 on the road," Fetner said. "Left-handed batters are hitting .246 with a .722 OPS against Kyle Bradish over the past year vs. a .586 OPS against right-handed batters. He's also been struggling recently, allowing 10 earned runs in 9 IP over his last 3 starts. The park is playing hitter-friendly today with a home run index of 7 out of 10. We set Jensen's line at +478 to homer"

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