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Padres (+100) vs. Mariners

The Mariners are sending Luis Castillo to the mound, and although the 33-year-old is a three-time All-Star and had a 3.54 ERA last season, he's off to a rough start this year. Castillo has a 6.92 ERA and he's coming off allowing seven runs in 3 1/3 innings to the Astros on Saturday. He failed to make it out of the fourth inning in his prior start, allowing four runs (three earned) to the Angels. The Padres are starting Walker Buehler, who tossed six shutout innings against the Rockies on Friday. The Padres have won seven straight games, and the model projects that momentum to carry and complete the sweep on Thursday. The model projects the Padres to win in 54% of simulations. Back the Padres to win at DraftKings here, and claim $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins as a new user:

Rockies vs. Astros: Over 8.5 runs scored (-119)

The Rockies went Over this total in five of their last seven games, and the Astros have gone Over it in 13 of their last 17 contests. The Astros have also gone Over their game over-under in 13 of those 17 contests, including a 7-6 Astros win on Tuesday to open this series. The Astros entered this series on an eight-game losing streak behind poor pitching, including Thursday's starter Lance McCullers Jr. allowing six runs in 4 1/3 innings to the Mariners on Saturday in his last start. The Rockies have lost six straight behind poor pitching, and the model projects pitching failures again on Thursday. The model projects the Over to hit in 64.7% of simulations. Back the Over at DraftKings here, and claim $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins as a new user:

Avalanche (-180) vs. Kraken

The Avalanche will enter the playoffs as the top-scoring team by multiple games with 119 points, which is six more than any other team in the league, while still having a game to play. Colorado has won four of its last five games heading into its regular-season and home finale Thursday. The Avs are 25-9-6 at home this season, while the Kraken are 15-18-6 on the road this year. The model projects Colorado to win in 69% of simulations compared to its implied odds of 64.5%. Back the Avalanche to win at DraftKings here, and claim $300 in bonus bets if your first $5 bet wins as a new user:

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