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LSU baseball's chances for the NCAA tournament hinge on their performance in the upcoming series against Florida. After a tough season, the team must secure wins to keep postseason hopes alive.
Can Florida series help LSU baseball's NCAA tournament outlook?
BATON ROUGE â By now, it's likely nearly all LSU baseball fans have come to terms with the team's postseason fate.
After the Tigers (29-24, 9-18 SEC) suffered their fourth sweep in the last five weekends of SEC play at No. 5 Georgia this weekend, there's now only one way Jay Johnson and his team can reach the NCAA tournament.
Heading into the Georgia series coming off a sweep at home over South Carolina, if LSU were able to win at least one game against the Bulldogs, the door to the postseason could have cracked open a little more.
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The Tigers had a great shot at taking game one in the series at Foley Field Friday night. LSU jumped out to an early, four-run lead and held two separate three-run leads before crumbling late in the game to ultimately drop the series opener, 11-8. It couldn't recapture the early magic from game one in the rest of the three-game set and went on the lose the next two games, 13-8 and 12-1 in a run-rule loss.
Here's where LSU currently stands in the NCAA tournament projections with one week remaining in the 2026 regular season.
LSU, who can only potentially reach a total of 12 regular season conference wins if it were to sweep Florida at home this week, now must win the SEC Tournament next week in Hoover to make Field of 64.
D1Baseball had LSU among the "Four to Watch" distinction last week but it has dropped completely out of the picture after getting swept at Georgia.
Despite being swept in conference play four of the last five weekends, the Tigers are still inside the top 60 in RPI at 57.
LSU baseball needs to win at least one game in their upcoming series against Florida to keep their NCAA tournament hopes alive.
LSU baseball has struggled recently, suffering four sweeps in the last five weekends of SEC play, including a sweep by No. 5 Georgia.
LSU baseball currently has a record of 29-24 and stands at 9-18 in SEC play.
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The five Quad 4 losses are a real detriment to LSU's postseason resume and its 4-16 record against Quad 1 teams also isn't a great look.
There are Q1 opportunities against Florida, who ranks 11 in RPI, this week at home but it's too little, too late for the Tigers as far as the regular season is concerned.
LSU has not missed the NCAA tournament under Johnson. The Tigers have made the field of 64 each of the last four seasons. They have alternated being eliminated during the regional round (2022, 2024) and winning the national championship (2023, 2025).
Under Johnson, LSU has never been lower than a No. 2 seed.
Cory Diaz covers the LSU Tigers for The Daily Advertiser as part of the USA TODAY Network. Follow his Tigers coverage on Twitter: @ByCoryDiaz. Got questions regarding LSU athletics? Send them to Cory Diaz atbdiaz@gannett.com.
This article originally appeared on Lafayette Daily Advertiser: Where LSU baseball stands in latest NCAA tournament bracket projections